Polymarket wallet 0xdc74…82f3

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xdc74…82f3 has made 129 trades on Polymarket across 72 markets, $177 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (48%) and politics (12%). On 18 resolved markets the win rate is 55.6%, lifetime P&L +$13. It holds 48 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No · $7 · 50¢ → 89¢
• Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No · $2 · 81¢ → 95¢
• Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No · $2 · 87¢ → 95¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?No · $2 · 88¢ → 94¢
• Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?No · $2 · 90¢ → 95¢
• Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No · $2 · 88¢ → 93¢
• Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?No · $2 · 75¢ → 69¢
• OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?No · $2 · 25¢ → 23¢
• Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · $2 · 65¢ → 58¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $2 · 50¢ → 88¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Yes · +$1 · Oct 21, 2026
• Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No · +$1 · Oct 20, 2026
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No · +$0 · Oct 20, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?Yes · +$0 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 12?Yes · +$1 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 12?Yes · +$0 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.