Geopolitics80 days left

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$120.3K
2,205 trades
Smart Whales
51
of 513 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

22 YESvs30 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 20 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $16.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.5K·NO $13.5K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 42% YES: Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31