Politics15 days left
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
YES Price
43¢
43% implied
NO Price
57¢
57% implied
Volume
$31.9K
1,248 trades
Smart Whales
64
of 287 traders
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
5 MARKETS · $489.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election
17¢+13¢$95.4K21/49Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election+13¢17¢
$95.4K21/49
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election←
43¢−5¢$31.9K25/40Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election←−5¢43¢
$31.9K25/40
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election
26¢−4¢$80.1K19/66Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election−4¢26¢
$80.1K19/66
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
25 YESvs39 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars · 24 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 58%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$432+6 new NO$310
$6 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.1K is directional: YES $4.6K·NO $572YES Team
Total Invested
$4.7K
Avg Win Rate
69.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.5K(+73.5%)
Whales
25
M
mr.ozi◆Proven🥇
Entry 22¢·12,000 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$2398
+$2398INV $2.6K · WR 71.4%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven🥈
Entry 23¢·4,779.2 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$868
+$868INV $1.1K · WR 64.4%
P
Paul.Dirac🥉
Entry 31¢·1,232 shares
Invested
$377
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$134
+$134INV $377 · WR 73.2%
3
0x3564035c...hedged
Entry 67¢·214.8 shares·also $76 on NO
Invested
$145
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $145 · WR 65.0%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven
Entry 43¢·181.8 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $78 · WR 56.8%
N
NoFear-418◆Proven
Entry 34¢·215.5 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $72 · WR 56.6%
N
neverhackme
Entry 34¢·140.9 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $48 · WR 75.8%
A
Affectionate-Monger
Entry 38¢·112.6 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $43 · WR 79.1%
A
aysupernova
Entry 31¢·113.3 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $35 · WR 64.9%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 34¢·100 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $34 · WR 70.5%
Showing top 10 of 25
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
78.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+0.3%)
Whales
39
S
Sticky-Closing🥇
Entry 65¢·639.5 shares
Invested
$417
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $417 · WR 62.5%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 56¢·660 shares
Invested
$366
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $366 · WR 85.7%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 56¢·277.2 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $155 · WR 87.7%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 50¢·209.8 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $105 · WR 85.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 60¢·135 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $80 · WR 88.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 65¢·121.5 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $80 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 67¢·115.9 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $78 · WR 86.0%
3
0x3564035c...hedged
Entry 35¢·214.8 shares·also $145 on YES
Invested
$76
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $76 · WR 65.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 63¢·117.2 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $74 · WR 87.7%
M
merod
Entry 60¢·103.1 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $62 · WR 84.1%
Showing top 10 of 39
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