Geopolitics89 days left

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
3ยข
3% implied
NO Price
97ยข
97% implied
Volume
$246.2K
3,393 trades
Smart Whales
82
of 597 traders ยท 2 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

41 YESvs43 NO
49%51%
51% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars ยท 21 YES vs 33 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%ยท net of hedges
+19 new YES$448+7 new NO$1.5K
$174 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
2 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$29 of $32.5K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $1.6KยทNO $30.9K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 49% YES: Israel withdraws from Lebanonโ€ฆ