Geopolitics262 days left

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2027?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

25¢

25% implied

NO Price

75¢

75% implied

Volume

$2.9K

386 trades

Smart Whales

of 33 traders

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

4 MARKETS · $257.6K MATCHED

Smart Money

by December 31, 2026

3¢+48¢$252.4K48/47

by December 31, 2026+48¢3¢

$252.4K48/47

by December 31, 2027

33¢+67¢$1.2K1/0

by December 31, 2027+67¢33¢

$1.2K1/0

by March 31, 2027

20¢−20¢$1.2K0/5

by March 31, 2027−20¢20¢

$1.2K0/5

by June 30, 2027←

25¢+8¢$2.9K1/2

by June 30, 2027←+8¢25¢

$2.9K1/2

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs2 NO

33%67%

67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 56% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $30 is directional: YES $17·NO $13

YES Team

Total Invested

$17

Avg Win Rate

86.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$2(+14.3%)

Whales

+$2INV $17 · WR 86.4%

NO Team

Total Invested

$26

Avg Win Rate

67.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$0(-0.9%)

Whales

cloverpmq2🥇

Entry 78¢·17.1 shares

$-0INV $13 · WR 60.1%

Malganis🥈

Entry 75¢·17.1 shares

+$0INV $13 · WR 75.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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