YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$485.0K
7,317 trades
Smart Whales
226
of 1,282 traders · 4 on both sides
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
3 MARKETS · $503.4K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
102 YESvs128 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 62 YES vs 102 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$270+9 new NO$2.1K
$254 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$68 of $120.5K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $26.1K·NO $94.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$36.4K
Avg Win Rate
66.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.6K(-20.9%)
Whales
102
D
DirkDiggler67◆Proven🥇
Entry 27¢·27,977.6 shares
Invested
$7.6K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-1584
$-1584INV $7.6K · WR 67.4%
P
Pondermint🥈
Entry 29¢·20,492.5 shares
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-1606
$-1606INV $6.0K · WR 63.4%
6
6idontknow123451334🥉
Entry 41¢·8,783.6 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-1718
$-1718INV $3.6K · WR 61.3%
S
scottilicious
Entry 26¢·6,231.8 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-284
$-284INV $1.6K · WR 85.5%
B
bernardbulletin◆Proven
Entry 31¢·4,989.5 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-458
$-458INV $1.5K · WR 69.4%
B
BasedJonStewart
Entry 44¢·3,257.6 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-736
$-736INV $1.4K · WR 62.6%
P
Palmfrog
Entry 24¢·2,078.3 shares
Invested
$509
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $509 · WR 74.0%
E
easierthanmanifold
Entry 26¢·1,900.4 shares
Invested
$488
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-80
$-80INV $488 · WR 58.3%
P
puravida
Entry 38¢·1,200 shares
Invested
$454
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-196
$-196INV $454 · WR 60.0%
F
Folletin
Entry 43¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$430
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-215
$-215INV $430 · WR 69.9%
Showing top 10 of 102
NO Team
Total Invested
$97.3K
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.2K(+5.3%)
Whales
128
S
Sticky-Closing🥇
Entry 77¢·19,383 shares
Invested
$14.9K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$337
+$337INV $14.9K · WR 62.5%
P
Parz1vaI🥈
Entry 78¢·16,668.5 shares
Invested
$13.0K
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $13.0K · WR 71.5%
M
M2sx92kljs42🥉
Entry 78¢·10,468.8 shares
Invested
$8.2K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $8.2K · WR 71.3%
M
Mr-Krabs◆Proven
Entry 70¢·7,995.8 shares
Invested
$5.6K
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
+$653
+$653INV $5.6K · WR 78.7%
M
MEPP
Entry 65¢·8,122.1 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
+$1121
+$1121INV $5.3K · WR 64.2%
F
forinnerpsandr1x11222◆Proven
Entry 77¢·6,594.4 shares
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $5.1K · WR 91.3%
M
mm4ker
Entry 73¢·5,735.4 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$287
+$287INV $4.2K · WR 69.7%
N
Noname333◆Proven
Entry 74¢·4,380.2 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$186
+$186INV $3.3K · WR 76.0%
T
Trumpchi
Entry 74¢·4,092 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$175
+$175INV $3.0K · WR 79.7%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven
Entry 78¢·3,787.3 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $2.9K · WR 75.9%
Showing top 10 of 128
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1ms (cached)