peasant · Polymarket wallet 0x1c72…dfb6

Wallet snapshot

peasant has made 9,887 trades on Polymarket across 325 markets, $6.0M in volume. Most of it is in politics (34%) and geopolitics (34%). On 313 resolved markets the win rate is 55.9%, lifetime P&L +$116K. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes · $9,260 · 25¢ → 46¢
• Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $5,283 · 2¢ → 2¢
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $4,963 · 46¢ → 40¢
• Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $839 · 2¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · +$18K · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$5,120 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$4,500 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$338 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No · +$9,869 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No · +$11K · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes · -$7,559 · Nov 4, 2026
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No · -$60 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes · +$705 · Jul 19, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$1,616 · Jul 1, 2026

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