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12 days left

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 21?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$6.2K
97 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 57 traders

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

4 MARKETS · $3.05M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs9 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 47% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+36 new YES$1.1K+39 new NO$5.1K
$322 of this was bought on both sides by the same 18 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $609·NO $697
YES Team
Total Invested
$687
Avg Win Rate
64.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$58(+8.4%)
Whales
6
P
Pondermint🥇
Entry 17¢·2,925.8 shares
+$35INV $492 · WR 64.7%
T
truthteller🥈
Entry 15¢·500.4 shares
+$23INV $74 · WR 57.8%
B
bernardbulletinProven🥉
Entry 18¢·369 shares
+$6INV $66 · WR 70.4%
S
SusanWarrenHRProven
Entry 22¢·200 shares
$-5INV $43 · WR 67.4%
V
VolynMolfar
Entry 22¢·29.5 shares
$-1INV $6 · WR 64.9%
K
klli27hedged
Entry 20¢·25.1 shares·also $21 on NO
$-0INV $5 · WR 82.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 36% YES: Pete Hegseth out as Secretary…