Pondermint · Polymarket wallet 0x8633…a08d

Wallet snapshot

Pondermint has made 17,245 trades on Polymarket across 671 markets, $5.9M in volume. Most of it is in sports (44%) and politics (31%). On 585 resolved markets the win rate is 63.4%, lifetime P&L +$111K. It holds 39 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes · $4,823 · 29¢ → 24¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · $2,906 · 48¢ → 63¢
• Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?No · $2,466 · 92¢ → 96¢
• Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes · $2,015 · 92¢ → 96¢
• Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes · $1,926 · 94¢ → 96¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $1,810 · 91¢ → 91¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $1,810 · 91¢ → 91¢
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $1,432 · 10¢ → 10¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · $1,043 · 70¢ → 70¢
• Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes · $1,027 · 76¢ → 19¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · -$3 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes · -$36 · Sep 15, 2026
• Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes · -$4 · Sep 15, 2026
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes · +$170 · Sep 13, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$5 · Sep 13, 2026
• Oklahoma vs. MichiganNo · +$38 · Sep 12, 2026
• North Carolina State vs. Virginia

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