Flawed-Frustration · Polymarket wallet 0xf367…b06c

Wallet snapshot

Flawed-Frustration has made 67 trades on Polymarket across 38 markets, $94 in volume. Most of it is in sports (34%) and geopolitics (16%). On 30 resolved markets the win rate is 70%, lifetime P&L -$0. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $3 · 93¢ → 98¢
• Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes · $3 · 23¢ → 35¢
• Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No · $2 · 95¢ → 96¢
• Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?No · $2 · 21¢ → 36¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No · $1 · 89¢ → 90¢
• Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No · $1 · 98¢ → 98¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Yes · $1 · 77¢ → 72¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · $0 · 89¢ → 27¢

Latest closed positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes · +$0 · Jul 10, 2026
• Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNo · +$2 · Jul 5, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 3?No · +$0 · Jul 3, 2026
• Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes · +$1 · Jul 3, 2026
• Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes · +$0 · Jul 2, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.