EconomicsResolved

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

0¢

0% implied

NO Price

100¢

100% implied

Volume

$289.6K

3,304 trades

Smart Whales

161

of 744 traders

2nd largest company end of April?

3 MARKETS · $292.1K MATCHED

Smart Money

by market cap on April 30←

0¢+4¢$289.6K6/155

by market cap on April 30←+4¢0¢

by market cap on December 31

3¢+26¢$1.8K5/12

by market cap on December 31+26¢3¢

by market cap on October 31, 2026

1¢−1¢$5940/8

by market cap on October 31, 2026−1¢1¢

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Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs155 NO

96%

96% of smart money holding this market is on NO

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team

Total Invested

$22

Avg Win Rate

66.5%

Aggregate P&L

-$14(-65.0%)

Whales

6

Entry 0¢·3,867.9 shares

$-9INV $9 · WR 62.6%

HolyMoses7🥈hedged

Entry 0¢·720 shares·also $691 on NO

$-3INV $3 · WR 77.6%

Entry 1¢·288 shares

$-2INV $2 · WR 65.1%

Showing top 3 of 6

NO Team

Total Invested

$49.9K

Avg Win Rate

84.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$1.6K(+3.1%)

Whales

155

influenz.eth🥇

Entry 99¢·16,484.3 shares

+$115INV $16.4K · WR 85.8%

Entry 99¢·6,718.8 shares

+$42INV $6.7K · WR 86.6%

Entry 100¢·5,364.2 shares

+$20INV $5.3K · WR 87.7%

Entry 99¢·5,114.1 shares

+$26INV $5.1K · WR 72.2%

Scornful-Conductor

Entry 77¢·3,308.8 shares

+$757INV $2.6K · WR 86.7%

Novus0rdoSeclorum

Entry 100¢·1,734.7 shares

+$2INV $1.7K · WR 83.8%

Entry 99¢·1,742.9 shares

+$12INV $1.7K · WR 90.2%

Entry 99¢·1,147.8 shares

+$9INV $1.1K · WR 85.8%

Questionable-Pineapple

Entry 100¢·1,001 shares

+$1INV $1.0K · WR 66.7%

HolyMoses7hedged

Entry 96¢·720 shares·also $3 on YES

+$29INV $691 · WR 77.6%

Showing top 10 of 155

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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