85 days left
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$1.5K
123 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 44 traders
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
10 MARKETS · $27.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs9 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+1 new YES$1+1 new NO$27
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $15 is directional: YES $15·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$15
Avg Win Rate
64.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+56.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$511
Avg Win Rate
85.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$429(+83.9%)
Whales
9
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 50¢·298 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$136
+$136INV $149 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 50¢·136.7 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $68 · WR 79.5%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 50¢·120 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $60 · WR 89.3%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 50¢·117.9 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $59 · WR 88.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $50 · WR 86.0%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·84.1 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $42 · WR 79.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 65¢·60 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $39 · WR 88.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 59¢·50.4 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $30 · WR 89.0%
R
Reallly-prime
Entry 90¢·15 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 58.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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