Frugal-Nectarine · Polymarket wallet 0xf16c…5061

Wallet snapshot

Frugal-Nectarine has made 64 trades on Polymarket across 32 markets, $2,717 in volume. Most of it is in politics (36%) and geopolitics (26%). On 13 resolved markets the win rate is 69.2%, lifetime P&L +$357. It holds 14 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 26, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $117 · 82¢ → 96¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $100 · 80¢ → 80¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $70 · 89¢ → 98¢
• Ebola pandemic in 2026?No · $67 · 93¢ → 98¢
• Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes · $64 · 78¢ → 99¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $61 · 53¢ → 65¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $53 · 14¢ → 13¢
• Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No · $53 · 89¢ → 95¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $52 · 88¢ → 92¢
• Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Yes · $47 · 31¢ → 30¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$69 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$8 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · +$1 · Sep 25, 2026
• Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · +$7 · Aug 27, 2026
• Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes · +$90 · May 31, 2026
• Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes · +$15 · May 31, 2026
• Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

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