YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$602.0K
7,141 trades
Smart Whales
178
of 1,070 traders
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
2 MARKETS · $605.8K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
53 YESvs125 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 21 YES vs 109 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$6+3 new NO$2.6K
$6 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $137.0K is directional: YES $3.9K·NO $133.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$7.2K
Avg Win Rate
68.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.3K(-46.2%)
Whales
53
I
Impure-Anniversary🥇
Entry 9¢·25,978.5 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-841
$-841INV $2.4K · WR 69.2%
S
Stimulating-Power🥈
Entry 100¢·1,103.6 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
$-1033
$-1033INV $1.1K · WR 62.4%
S
SunXiaochuan6🥉
Entry 93¢·1,078.9 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-942
$-942INV $1.0K · WR 81.8%
M
meagainsttheworld◆Proven
Entry 9¢·7,000 shares
Invested
$630
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-210
$-210INV $630 · WR 64.8%
A
alpha-11
Entry 8¢·6,879.4 shares
Invested
$550
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-137
$-137INV $550 · WR 63.2%
M
MossyRidgewayhedged
Entry 7¢·2,220.9 shares·also $2.1K on NO
Invested
$147
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $147 · WR 58.1%
M
makanmakan
Entry 15¢·450 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $67 · WR 69.8%
S
Sharp-Tripod
Entry 9¢·555 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $50 · WR 64.3%
P
PascalPro
Entry 8¢·500 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $40 · WR 66.1%
P
Poopek
Entry 8¢·498.9 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $40 · WR 73.0%
Showing top 10 of 53
NO Team
Total Invested
$137.5K
Avg Win Rate
77.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.6K(+4.8%)
Whales
125
D
Donny.T🥇
Entry 90¢·49,644.9 shares
Invested
$44.6K
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
+$2019
+$2019INV $44.6K · WR 73.5%
G
gorovi🥈
Entry 91¢·32,382 shares
Invested
$29.4K
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$1039
+$1039INV $29.4K · WR 85.5%
T
TronOG🥉
Entry 91¢·15,222.3 shares
Invested
$13.8K
Win Rate
78.1%
Position P&L
+$464
+$464INV $13.8K · WR 78.1%
D
DFK
Entry 89¢·9,679.6 shares
Invested
$8.6K
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
+$478
+$478INV $8.6K · WR 82.6%
M
megafom
Entry 92¢·7,286.6 shares
Invested
$6.7K
Win Rate
80.3%
Position P&L
+$146
+$146INV $6.7K · WR 80.3%
J
Jerzy◆Proven
Entry 91¢·6,000 shares
Invested
$5.4K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$200
+$200INV $5.4K · WR 60.6%
P
prognozu
Entry 93¢·2,624.2 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $2.4K · WR 85.4%
M
MossyRidgewayhedged
Entry 93¢·2,220.9 shares·also $147 on YES
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $2.1K · WR 58.1%
C
Compassionate-Kneejerk
Entry 85¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
+$190
+$190INV $1.7K · WR 90.5%
R
randomWalkingShrimp◆Proven
Entry 91¢·1,823.9 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $1.7K · WR 77.0%
Showing top 10 of 125
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