Geopolitics90 days left

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

YES Price
7ยข
7% implied
NO Price
93ยข
93% implied
Volume
$585.8K
6,991 trades
Smart Whales
177
of 1,053 traders

Smart Money Consensus

52 YESvs125 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars ยท 21 YES vs 112 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%
+1 new YES$9+3 new NO$177
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $138.5K is directional: YES $3.6KยทNO $134.9K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 29% YES: Russia invade another country in 2026