frostyhopper · Polymarket wallet 0xef4a…5eeb

Wallet snapshot

frostyhopper has made 5,144 trades on Polymarket across 909 markets, $45K in volume. Most of it is in sports (29%) and geopolitics (18%). On 770 resolved markets the win rate is 70.6%, lifetime P&L -$144. It holds 84 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 28, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $82 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $82 · 94¢ → 96¢
• Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes · $80 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $80 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No · $47 · 96¢ → 96¢
• Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No · $45 · 91¢ → 92¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?No · $41 · 93¢ → 96¢
• Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No · $40 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes · $39 · 92¢ → 91¢
• Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?No · $34 · 94¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · -$2 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$4 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · +$0 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$4 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · +$3 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 28, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.