Sports81 days left
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
YES Price
89¢
89% implied
NO Price
11¢
11% implied
Volume
$53.0K
2,611 trades
Smart Whales
91
of 385 traders
Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
12 MARKETS · $753.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
30 YESvs61 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 21 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 97%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$244+5 new NO$16
$17 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $7.6K is directional: YES $7.5K·NO $116YES Team
Total Invested
$7.7K
Avg Win Rate
83.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$475(+6.2%)
Whales
30
E
elmcap2🥇
Entry 90¢·6,118.1 shares
Invested
$5.5K
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5.5K · WR 88.8%
R
Robbb◆Proven🥈
Entry 75¢·1,106.4 shares
Invested
$825
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$165
+$165INV $825 · WR 81.2%
P
PhilHawesLover🥉
Entry 86¢·836.8 shares
Invested
$723
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $723 · WR 57.1%
D
Dualtrol
Entry 70¢·123.7 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $86 · WR 60.3%
Y
YoelRomeroMMA
Entry 30¢·200 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$119
+$119INV $60 · WR 56.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 90¢·59.2 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $53 · WR 68.2%
B
Bulan
Entry 83¢·60 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $50 · WR 55.6%
T
technician2
Entry 26¢·188 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$119
+$119INV $50 · WR 61.9%
B
bakayo33 - 9934
Entry 91¢·50 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $45 · WR 60.5%
S
Slowroasted
Entry 83¢·52.5 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
92.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $44 · WR 92.8%
Showing top 10 of 30
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.7K
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.4K(-51.2%)
Whales
61
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 48¢·1,845.3 shares
Invested
$883
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-687
$-687INV $883 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 29¢·1,793.3 shares
Invested
$514
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-323
$-323INV $514 · WR 86.0%
P
Pure-Eyeliner🥉
Entry 46¢·881.4 shares
Invested
$409
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-315
$-315INV $409 · WR 56.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 51¢·757.4 shares
Invested
$388
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-308
$-308INV $388 · WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 37¢·994.4 shares
Invested
$368
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-262
$-262INV $368 · WR 87.7%
B
baE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E7475
Entry 62¢·328.7 shares
Invested
$204
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-169
$-169INV $204 · WR 87.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 49¢·302.7 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-115
$-115INV $147 · WR 79.6%
M
Motionless-Feedback
Entry 67¢·148.4 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $100 · WR 86.9%
G
Glued◆Proven
Entry 88¢·105 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $92 · WR 56.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 28¢·297.4 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $82 · WR 88.2%
Showing top 10 of 61
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