Sports89 days left
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$29.0K
1,345 trades
Smart Whales
70
of 273 traders
Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
12 MARKETS · $734.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs58 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%
+1 new YES$8+2 new NO$140
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.7K is directional: YES $262·NO $1.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$303
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$104(-34.4%)
Whales
12
P
patspats🥇
Entry 26¢·371.5 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $97 · WR 60.0%
S
sweetj🥈
Entry 8¢·794.6 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $64 · WR 75.2%
S
Spectrum◆Proven🥉
Entry 10¢·390.7 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $39 · WR 61.0%
4
4751346
Entry 21¢·154.9 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $33 · WR 72.8%
S
SapoRey
Entry 28¢·72.5 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $20 · WR 57.5%
S
Simon4s
Entry 8¢·100 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 74.3%
R
romanew-2s
Entry 14¢·11.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 69.3%
D
daiquiri
Entry 0¢·8.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 77.6%
Showing top 8 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.8K
Avg Win Rate
77.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+24.6%)
Whales
58
B
Bulan🥇
Entry 92¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$917
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $917 · WR 56.0%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 56¢·1,574.2 shares
Invested
$881
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$568
+$568INV $881 · WR 88.7%
G
glm404.fund🥉
Entry 88¢·995.3 shares
Invested
$876
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $876 · WR 85.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 89¢·892.6 shares
Invested
$798
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $798 · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 73¢·727.3 shares
Invested
$531
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$138
+$138INV $531 · WR 72.1%
P
PhilHawesLover
Entry 92¢·494 shares
Invested
$453
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $453 · WR 57.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 53¢·501.9 shares
Invested
$265
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$197
+$197INV $265 · WR 79.3%
L
Lucerys
Entry 88¢·223.7 shares
Invested
$196
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $196 · WR 87.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 85¢·210.7 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $180 · WR 87.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 92¢·172.4 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $159 · WR 89.0%
Showing top 10 of 58
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