Sports89 days left
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
YES Price
88¢
88% implied
NO Price
12¢
12% implied
Volume
$48.5K
2,406 trades
Smart Whales
89
of 377 traders
Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
12 MARKETS · $734.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
30 YESvs59 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 94%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$227+3 new NO$14
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $7.5K is directional: YES $7.4K·NO $114YES Team
Total Invested
$7.7K
Avg Win Rate
83.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$400(+5.2%)
Whales
30
Q
qmarktea2🥇
Entry 89¢·6,118.1 shares
Invested
$5.5K
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $5.5K · WR 89.0%
R
Robbb◆Proven🥈
Entry 74¢·1,106.4 shares
Invested
$819
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$160
+$160INV $819 · WR 81.2%
P
PhilHawesLover🥉
Entry 86¢·836.8 shares
Invested
$723
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $723 · WR 57.2%
D
Dualtrol
Entry 70¢·123.7 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $86 · WR 60.2%
Y
YoelRomeroMMA
Entry 30¢·200 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$117
+$117INV $60 · WR 56.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 90¢·59.2 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $53 · WR 68.6%
B
Bulan
Entry 83¢·60 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $50 · WR 56.0%
T
technician2
Entry 26¢·188 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$117
+$117INV $49 · WR 61.9%
S
Slowroasted
Entry 83¢·52.5 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
92.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $44 · WR 92.8%
F
frostyhopper
Entry 93¢·43.3 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $40 · WR 71.3%
Showing top 10 of 30
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.4K
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.5K(-56.6%)
Whales
59
G
glm404.fund🥇
Entry 48¢·1,845.3 shares
Invested
$883
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-670
$-670INV $883 · WR 85.8%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 26¢·1,593.3 shares
Invested
$414
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-230
$-230INV $414 · WR 85.9%
P
Pure-Eyeliner🥉
Entry 46¢·881.4 shares
Invested
$409
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-307
$-307INV $409 · WR 56.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 41¢·966 shares
Invested
$397
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-285
$-285INV $397 · WR 72.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 37¢·994.4 shares
Invested
$368
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-253
$-253INV $368 · WR 87.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 48¢·437.1 shares
Invested
$208
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-158
$-158INV $208 · WR 88.1%
B
baE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E7475
Entry 62¢·328.7 shares
Invested
$204
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-166
$-166INV $204 · WR 87.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 39¢·404.3 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-113
$-113INV $159 · WR 87.0%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 88¢·120.9 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-92
$-92INV $106 · WR 55.3%
M
Motionless-Feedback
Entry 67¢·148.4 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $100 · WR 86.9%
Showing top 10 of 59
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