masha256 · Polymarket wallet 0xe915…f3bf

Wallet snapshot

masha256 has made 252 trades on Polymarket across 183 markets, $6,268 in volume. Most of it is in politics (33%) and economics (18%). On 170 resolved markets the win rate is 59.4%, lifetime P&L +$597. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?". Last trade: Jul 29, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $112 · 86¢ → 96¢
• Discord IPO before 2027?No · $89 · 10¢ → 93¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $57 · 85¢ → 96¢
• Ledger IPO before 2027?No · $56 · 35¢ → 98¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $43 · 91¢ → 98¢
• Stripe IPO before 2027?No · $33 · 89¢ → 97¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $15 · 48¢ → 37¢
• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $10 · 72¢ → 37¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $6 · 38¢ → 15¢
• Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes · $3 · 49¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · +$15 · Jul 29, 2026
• Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceYes · +$30 · Jul 7, 2026
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes · +$8 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?No · +$8 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?No · +$4 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?No · +$3 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.