Palmfrog · Polymarket wallet 0xe6ed…07ea

Wallet snapshot

Palmfrog has made 1,180 trades on Polymarket across 70 markets, $231K in volume. Most of it is in politics (59%) and sports (16%). On 51 resolved markets the win rate is 74.5%, lifetime P&L +$15K. It holds 19 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $19K · 88¢ → 91¢
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $2,052 · 7¢ → 9¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $580 · 74¢ → 74¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $512 · 63¢ → 65¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes · $488 · 24¢ → 24¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $307 · 34¢ → 15¢
• Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes · $296 · 38¢ → 38¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $90 · 18¢ → 9¢
• Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $48 · 3¢ → 3¢
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $43 · 4¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$1,607 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?No · +$393 · Apr 8, 2026
• Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes · +$521 · Apr 8, 2026
• Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes · +$341 · Apr 8, 2026
• Seahawks vs. PatriotsYes · +$78 · Feb 23, 2026
• Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No · +$3,856 · Feb 23, 2026
• US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

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