vadret · Polymarket wallet 0xe6d0…5b15

Wallet snapshot

vadret has made 1,027 trades on Polymarket across 140 markets, $17K in volume. Most of it is in sports (38%) and geopolitics (13%). On 92 resolved markets the win rate is 65.2%, lifetime P&L +$205. It holds 43 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · $630 · 88¢ → 96¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $551 · 85¢ → 83¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $520 · 89¢ → 90¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $483 · 70¢ → 70¢
• Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No · $301 · 96¢ → 97¢
• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes · $294 · 95¢ → 95¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No · $164 · 70¢ → 76¢
• Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No · $143 · 76¢ → 85¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · $137 · 72¢ → 86¢
• Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No · $121 · 97¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$7 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$6 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$3 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$237 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

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