jk345a6bsdk · Polymarket wallet 0xdf6c…eb44

Wallet snapshot

jk345a6bsdk has made 3,977 trades on Polymarket across 366 markets, $158K in volume. Most of it is in sports (31%) and geopolitics (28%). On 329 resolved markets the win rate is 56.2%, lifetime P&L +$7,903. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 27, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No · $2,810 · 72¢ → 97¢
• Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes · $1,445 · 45¢ → 71¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $466 · 56¢ → 97¢
• Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No · $364 · 82¢ → 92¢
• Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No · $72 · 86¢ → 96¢
• Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $57 · 2¢ → 3¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No · $34 · 70¢ → 98¢
• Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?No · $19 · 77¢ → 95¢
• Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes · $11 · 20¢ → 11¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes · $9 · 66¢ → 9¢

Latest closed positions

• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?No · +$43 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$54 · Oct 9, 2026
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No · +$5 · Oct 1, 2026
• Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?No · +$14 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?No · +$3 · Sep 27, 2026

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