Rotten-Burro · Polymarket wallet 0xd4fc…812a

+$69 lifetime P&L · 59.8% win rate · 117 resolved markets · 0xd4fc330cbbe31e5552014352edd4c3f39fd6812a

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Wallet snapshot

Rotten-Burro has made 357 trades on Polymarket across 149 markets, $4,211 in volume. Most of it is in politics (49%) and geopolitics (30%). On 117 resolved markets the win rate is 59.8%, lifetime P&L +$69. It holds 21 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $18 · 65¢ → 87¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $10 · 59¢ → 51¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes · $9 · 69¢ → 89¢
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes · $9 · 89¢ → 89¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes · $9 · 82¢ → 89¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $7 · 61¢ → 73¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · $7 · 60¢ → 71¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes · $7 · 53¢ → 69¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes · $6 · 68¢ → 60¢
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes · $5 · 60¢ → 48¢

Latest closed positions

Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes · -$0 · Oct 9, 2026
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes · +$12 · Sep 21, 2026
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No · -$1 · Sep 20, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · +$16 · Sep 16, 2026

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