Polymarket wallet 0xd393…f55d

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xd393…f55d has made 183 trades on Polymarket across 180 markets, $253 in volume. Most of it is in economics (11%) and geopolitics (11%). On 173 resolved markets the win rate is 57.2%, lifetime P&L +$11. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 50¢ → 96¢
• Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?No · $0 · 31¢ → 13¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?No · -$1 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes · -$1 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?Yes · -$1 · Nov 4, 2026
• CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 90.5% to 92%?Yes · +$1 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?No · -$1 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?Yes · -$1 · Nov 2, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Yes · +$0 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 31, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.