Geopolitics4 days left
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
YES Price
71¢
71% implied
NO Price
29¢
29% implied
Volume
$27.6K
697 trades
Smart Whales
51
of 219 traders
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
5 MARKETS · $95.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31
0¢+15¢$7.9K3/17Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31+15¢0¢
$7.9K3/17
Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31
4¢+16¢$18.5K6/24Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31+16¢4¢
$18.5K6/24
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31←
71¢−33¢$27.6K18/30Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31←−33¢71¢
$27.6K18/30
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
22 YESvs29 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 16 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 84%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$1.4K+21 new NO$442
$416 of this was bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $886 is directional: YES $873·NO $13YES Team
Total Invested
$2.2K
Avg Win Rate
65.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$86(+4.0%)
Whales
22
R
RememberAmalek🥇hedged
Entry 73¢·1,570 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $1.1K · WR 64.4%
K
kanhaoleaha🥈
Entry 74¢·300 shares
Invested
$222
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $222 · WR 73.1%
S
sabsabinxz🥉
Entry 65¢·316 shares
Invested
$207
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $207 · WR 66.3%
M
MrMelonHead
Entry 80¢·250.2 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $200 · WR 65.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 53¢·215 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $114 · WR 72.0%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 50¢·215 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $109 · WR 57.5%
E
e2021dc
Entry 53¢·158.1 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $84 · WR 55.2%
M
melchior1248hedged
Entry 68¢·79.9 shares·also $13 on NO
Invested
$54
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $54 · WR 69.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 22¢·50 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $11 · WR 79.5%
T
truming
Entry 62¢·3.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 81.8%
Showing top 10 of 22
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
71.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$702(-39.3%)
Whales
29
R
RememberAmalek🥇hedged
Entry 54¢·2,175.3 shares·also $1.1K on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-523
$-523INV $1.2K · WR 64.4%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 44¢·549.1 shares
Invested
$241
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-79
$-79INV $241 · WR 87.6%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 49¢·110 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $54 · WR 88.6%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 36¢·144.9 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $52 · WR 88.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 54¢·84 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $45 · WR 86.0%
A
akla27
Entry 52¢·81.9 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $43 · WR 84.9%
X
xamel27
Entry 52¢·69.2 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $36 · WR 83.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 24¢·125 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $30 · WR 88.8%
Z
zerone777
Entry 52¢·51.8 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $27 · WR 84.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 34¢·65 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $22 · WR 89.1%
Showing top 10 of 29
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