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Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$6.7K
482 trades
Smart Whales
64
of 216 traders

ISM Manufacturing PMI - October 2026

10 MARKETS · $39.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

28 YESvs36 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 27 YES vs 31 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$25+4 new NO$58
$18 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $159 is directional: YES $27·NO $132
YES Team
Total Invested
$30
Avg Win Rate
57.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+4.7%)
Whales
28
C
cloverpmq2🥇
Entry 16¢·21 shares
+$0INV $3 · WR 56.1%
2
0x2e299d46...🥈
Entry 24¢·4.2 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.6%
4
0x4d215a1c...🥉
Entry 23¢·4.3 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.9%
6
0x6eeba84f...
Entry 23¢·4.3 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.0%
6
0x6f566381...
Entry 23¢·4.3 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 56.3%
8
0x8db2d421...
Entry 24¢·4.2 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.1%
5
0x53176bdc...
Entry 24¢·4.2 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.3%
5
0x54f7511f...
Entry 23¢·4.3 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.4%
5
0x56187cd0...
Entry 23¢·4.3 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.2%
5
0x59ab2d49...
Entry 23¢·4.3 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 28

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 44% YES: ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0…