Polymarket wallet 0x59ab…a8d6

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x59ab…a8d6 has made 159 trades on Polymarket across 155 markets, $213 in volume. Most of it is in economics (12%) and geopolitics (11%). On 147 resolved markets the win rate is 57.1%, lifetime P&L +$9. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?No · $2 · 52¢ → 100¢
• Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?No · $1 · 58¢ → 77¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?Yes · $1 · 25¢ → 25¢
• Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?No · $1 · 65¢ → 58¢
• Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Yes · $0 · 25¢ → 11¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes · -$1 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?No · +$1 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 5, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?No · +$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?No · +$0 · Nov 4, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.