Polymarket wallet 0xcd9d…b99e

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xcd9d…b99e has made 963 trades on Polymarket across 183 markets, $2,625 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (86%) and politics (8%). On 169 resolved markets the win rate is 79.3%, lifetime P&L +$85. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?". Last trade: Aug 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No · $12 · 59¢ → 76¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No · $12 · 78¢ → 91¢
• Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No · $8 · 85¢ → 90¢
• Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?No · $5 · 94¢ → 96¢
• Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No · $4 · 80¢ → 93¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes · $2 · 38¢ → 18¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · $2 · 59¢ → 70¢
• Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 95¢ → 98¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes · $0 · 54¢ → 9¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · -$0 · Sep 9, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No · -$3 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026?No · -$0 · Aug 26, 2026
• Will Daemon Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?No · -$0 · Aug 13, 2026
• Will Helaena Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?Yes · -$0 · Aug 13, 2026
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes · +$4 · Aug 12, 2026

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