GeopoliticsResolved

US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by August 14?

YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$1.60M
19,211 trades
Smart Whales
563
of 5,567 traders · 6 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

343 YESvs226 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 53% YES by dollars · 246 YES vs 155 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$46 of $44.5K is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $23.7K·NO $20.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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