GeopoliticsResolved

US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by August 31?

YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$1.86M
15,873 trades
Smart Whales
270
of 4,554 traders · 6 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

169 YESvs107 NO
61%39%
61% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 60% YES by dollars · 94 YES vs 60 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$15 of $47.1K is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $28.4K·NO $18.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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