Tired-Pianist · Polymarket wallet 0x87de…b61f

Wallet snapshot

Tired-Pianist has made 188 trades on Polymarket across 46 markets, $11K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (59%) and politics (15%). On 43 resolved markets the win rate is 69.8%, lifetime P&L +$302. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $221 · 68¢ → 74¢
• Will Trump and Putin not meet?No · $164 · 67¢ → 82¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $50 · 55¢ → 13¢

Latest closed positions

• Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No · +$187 · Sep 1, 2026
• US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No · +$47 · Aug 13, 2026
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No · +$124 · Aug 1, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes · +$40 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No · +$40 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes · +$39 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No · +$76 · Jul 30, 2026
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes · +$21 · Jul 6, 2026
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No · +$36 · Jul 2, 2026
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes · +$176 · Jul 1, 2026

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