ctq · Polymarket wallet 0xc566…08dd

Wallet snapshot

ctq has made 300 trades on Polymarket across 43 markets, $11K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (70%) and politics (26%). On 29 resolved markets the win rate is 58.6%, lifetime P&L +$333. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · $872 · 89¢ → 97¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $483 · 79¢ → 77¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · $257 · 89¢ → 95¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $114 · 24¢ → 15¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $61 · 49¢ → 48¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $25 · 18¢ → 15¢
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $20 · 6¢ → 6¢
• Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $17 · 5¢ → 5¢
• Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?Yes · $3 · 8¢ → 3¢
• Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 1¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Russian strike on Poland by June 30?No · +$20 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?No · +$35 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No · +$6 · May 9, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No · +$5 · May 1, 2026
• Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Yes · -$16 · Apr 7, 2026
• Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes · -$2 · Apr 6, 2026
• Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes · -$9 · Apr 4, 2026

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