valarmorgulis00 · Polymarket wallet 0xb8c7…5845

Wallet snapshot

valarmorgulis00 has made 956 trades on Polymarket across 250 markets, $78K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (37%) and crypto (19%). On 234 resolved markets the win rate is 76.5%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?". Last trade: Oct 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $153 · 68¢ → 70¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · $58 · 87¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No · +$111 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · +$90 · Oct 5, 2026
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No · +$26 · Oct 2, 2026
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No · +$13 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · +$18 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · +$92 · Oct 1, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$11 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · +$242 · Sep 29, 2026
• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · +$6 · Sep 25, 2026
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No · +$40 · Sep 20, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.