Astera · Polymarket wallet 0xb5b8…f0cb

Wallet snapshot

Astera has made 4,954 trades on Polymarket across 157 markets, $2.6M in volume. Most of it is in politics (44%) and geopolitics (26%). On 150 resolved markets the win rate is 72.7%, lifetime P&L +$66K. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?". Last trade: Nov 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No · $56K · 96¢ → 97¢
• Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes · $10K · 82¢ → 95¢
• Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes · $2,462 · 86¢ → 90¢
• Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?Yes · $1,833 · 83¢ → 92¢
• Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?No · $1,124 · 89¢ → 95¢
• Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?No · $363 · 83¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · +$2,073 · Nov 7, 2026
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · -$89 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$4,332 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · -$698 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$309 · Nov 4, 2026
• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes · -$23 · Nov 3, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.