Polymarket wallet 0xb46c…c34d

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xb46c…c34d has made 684 trades on Polymarket across 156 markets, $17K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (11%). On 70 resolved markets the win rate is 58.6%, lifetime P&L -$25. It holds 49 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No · $690 · 83¢ → 94¢
• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No · $386 · 85¢ → 97¢
• Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No · $188 · 91¢ → 94¢
• Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes · $83 · 71¢ → 64¢
• Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?No · $45 · 86¢ → 90¢
• SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?Yes · $43 · 40¢ → 43¢
• Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes · $35 · 17¢ → 23¢
• Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes · $13 · 29¢ → 27¢
• Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?Yes · $11 · 69¢ → 54¢
• Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes · $10 · 24¢ → 21¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?Yes · +$2 · Oct 10, 2026
• Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026No · +$5 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 3, 2026
• Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?Yes · -$7 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on September 30, 2026?Yes · +$5 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.