445 days left
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$119.8K
2,771 trades
Smart Whales
97
of 323 traders · 3 on both sides
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
10 MARKETS · $1.50M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
41 YESvs59 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 24 YES vs 15 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$737+27 new NO$4.0K
$455 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$30 of $4.5K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $3.7K·NO $858YES Team
Total Invested
$4.1K
Avg Win Rate
63.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$536(-13.0%)
Whales
41
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven🥇
Entry 13¢·6,237.1 shares
Invested
$818
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-191
$-191INV $818 · WR 56.0%
I
ImJustKen🥈
Entry 11¢·7,500 shares
Invested
$788
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $788 · WR 61.2%
D
Dragontree◆Proven🥉
Entry 12¢·4,755.4 shares
Invested
$582
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $582 · WR 67.4%
U
Username2133
Entry 13¢·4,000 shares
Invested
$512
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-111
$-111INV $512 · WR 69.2%
V
vinii
Entry 10¢·2,077.4 shares
Invested
$218
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $218 · WR 65.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 12¢·1,333.5 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $159 · WR 72.2%
S
Saldivva
Entry 12¢·1,246.1 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $153 · WR 62.8%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 13¢·996.7 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $133 · WR 59.4%
A
Anjun◆Proven
Entry 12¢·1,072.7 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $129 · WR 58.8%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 6¢·800 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $44 · WR 84.8%
Showing top 10 of 41
NO Team
Total Invested
$15.9K
Avg Win Rate
83.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.0K(+24.9%)
Whales
59
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 57¢·7,719.3 shares
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2520
+$2520INV $4.4K · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 58¢·2,448 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$778
+$778INV $1.4K · WR 87.7%
L
lpgb🥉
Entry 87¢·1,122.2 shares
Invested
$977
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $977 · WR 75.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 56¢·1,601.5 shares
Invested
$901
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$540
+$540INV $901 · WR 89.0%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 89¢·822.4 shares
Invested
$729
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $729 · WR 83.8%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 87¢·800.9 shares
Invested
$699
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $699 · WR 88.2%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 86¢·780.4 shares
Invested
$673
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $673 · WR 79.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 90¢·286.7 shares
Invested
$258
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $258 · WR 55.3%
D
DancewithRisk
Entry 86¢·142.9 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $122 · WR 66.1%
D
DerDonhedged
Entry 82¢·144.8 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$119
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $119 · WR 56.5%
Showing top 10 of 59
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