polikstoproc · Polymarket wallet 0xb016…95fd

Wallet snapshot

polikstoproc has made 367 trades on Polymarket across 73 markets, $4,670 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (36%) and economics (26%). On 23 resolved markets the win rate is 65.2%, lifetime P&L -$18. It holds 34 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?". Last trade: Oct 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?No · $19 · 83¢ → 79¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?No · $19 · 88¢ → 94¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $18 · 85¢ → 92¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · $17 · 87¢ → 93¢
• Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference?No · $17 · 77¢ → 76¢
• Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?Yes · $14 · 11¢ → 8¢
• Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?No · $14 · 78¢ → 85¢
• Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes · $12 · 32¢ → 29¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?No · $12 · 62¢ → 67¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?No · $12 · 36¢ → 36¢

Latest closed positions

• Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?No · +$2 · Oct 22, 2026
• Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?No · +$3 · Oct 20, 2026
• Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?No · +$2 · Oct 16, 2026
• Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?No · +$2 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?No · +$4 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.