Geopolitics2 days left
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$1.7K
75 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 35 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12?
6 MARKETS · $15.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18
25¢−11¢$1.7K1/6Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18−11¢25¢
$1.7K1/6
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18
34¢−1¢$2.2K4/8Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18−1¢34¢
$2.2K4/8
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18
17¢−6¢$2.4K1/8Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18−6¢17¢
$2.4K1/8
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18←
3¢+10¢$1.7K1/7Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18←+10¢3¢
$1.7K1/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$71+8 new NO$770
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $376 is directional: YES $1·NO $375YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
83.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-75.4%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$512
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$87(+17.1%)
Whales
9
S
SLVRBTM🥇
Entry 92¢·390 shares
Invested
$359
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $359 · WR 81.1%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 89¢·40 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $36 · WR 72.1%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 94¢·36 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $34 · WR 85.8%
R
Revolving-Stimulus-Pride
Entry 50¢·54 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $27 · WR 82.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $20 · WR 88.7%
S
Secondary-Magic
Entry 86¢·18 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $15 · WR 65.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 86.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 85.9%
A
0xa169f83d...
Entry 89¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 67.1%
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