Geopolitics5 days left

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

24¢

24% implied

NO Price

76¢

76% implied

Volume

$724

52 trades

Smart Whales

5

of 27 traders

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12?

6 MARKETS · $7.4K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18

18¢−18¢$2970/4

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18−18¢18¢

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18

24¢+1¢$8391/3

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18+1¢24¢

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18←

24¢−24¢$7240/5

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18←−24¢24¢

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18

13¢−13¢$7330/5

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18−13¢13¢

Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18

4¢−4¢$3.4K0/4

Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18−4¢4¢

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18

23¢−23¢$1.4K0/3

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18−23¢23¢

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Smart Money Consensus

0 YESvs5 NO

100%

100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges

+5 new YES$55+6 new NO$287

$26 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum

0 smart whales3 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $188 is directional: YES $0·NO $188

YES Team

Total Invested

$0

Avg Win Rate

unknown

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

0

No smart whales on YES

NO Team

Total Invested

$235

Avg Win Rate

65.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$6(+2.7%)

Whales

5

Entry 84¢·200 shares

$-7INV $168 · WR 62.3%

melchior1248🥈

Entry 68¢·40 shares

+$3INV $27 · WR 69.3%

Secondary-Magic🥉

Entry 82¢·24 shares

$-0INV $20 · WR 66.0%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$5INV $10 · WR 85.9%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$5INV $10 · WR 86.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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