Hoarse-Mosque · Polymarket wallet 0x8b6d…db9f

+$3 lifetime P&L · 90% win rate · 10 resolved markets · 0x8b6dd8c2906f1c8e70fb5fd9b6689ff04367db9f

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Wallet snapshot

Hoarse-Mosque has made 32 trades on Polymarket across 21 markets, $73 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (30%) and politics (30%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 90%, lifetime P&L +$3. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?No · $3 · 92¢ → 89¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · $2 · 84¢ → 81¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $2 · 53¢ → 64¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?No · $2 · 38¢ → 42¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $2 · 81¢ → 91¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · $2 · 92¢ → 96¢
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No · $1 · 62¢ → 87¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $1 · 45¢ → 37¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No · $1 · 94¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No · +$1 · Sep 21, 2026
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?No · -$1 · Sep 14, 2026
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No · +$0 · Aug 26, 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 19, 2026
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

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