mrtn08 · Polymarket wallet 0x8859…22c0

Wallet snapshot

mrtn08 has made 1,282 trades on Polymarket across 349 markets, $54K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (40%) and sports (38%). On 330 resolved markets the win rate is 81.2%. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $495 · 80¢ → 83¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?No · $178 · 66¢ → 89¢
• Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No · $121 · 75¢ → 81¢
• Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?No · $120 · 91¢ → 96¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · $96 · 88¢ → 96¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $91 · 86¢ → 91¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No · $83 · 76¢ → 83¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $81 · 12¢ → 9¢
• Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?No · $40 · 75¢ → 80¢
• Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No · $38 · 77¢ → 77¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · +$3 · Oct 12, 2026
• Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?Yes · +$4 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No · +$27 · Oct 3, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?No · +$5 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes · +$7 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes · +$12 · Sep 30, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.