Pale-Mantel · Polymarket wallet 0x8149…9068

72% win rate · 93 resolved markets · 0x81493d55c4d9ea6b0d4a2ea958579507e3df9068

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Wallet snapshot

Pale-Mantel has made 428 trades on Polymarket across 126 markets, $2,202 in volume. Most of it is in sports (66%) and politics (20%). On 93 resolved markets the win rate is 72%. It holds 36 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Xi Jinping out before 2027?". Last trade: Apr 27, 2026.

Largest open positions

Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $35 · 92¢ → 97¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $18 · 64¢ → 95¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $17 · 79¢ → 85¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $16 · 98¢ → 99¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $14 · 94¢ → 94¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $13 · 91¢ → 82¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $13 · 81¢ → 78¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $11 · 88¢ → 98¢
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $10 · 98¢ → 99¢
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $10 · 98¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No · $0 · Aug 1, 2026
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · -$0 · Jul 20, 2026
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · $0 · Jul 16, 2026
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · -$0 · Jul 15, 2026
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · -$0 · Jul 12, 2026
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · -$0 · Jul 7, 2026
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No · -$1 · Jul 6, 2026

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