Sina. · Polymarket wallet 0x7fa8…f4d4

+$26 lifetime P&L · 61.5% win rate · 65 resolved markets · 0x7fa8d00251eda100942499df8be8baf52400f4d4

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Wallet snapshot

Sina. has made 176 trades on Polymarket across 69 markets, $1,437 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (63%) and politics (15%). On 65 resolved markets the win rate is 61.5%, lifetime P&L +$26. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Trump and Pezeshkian meet by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 25, 2025.

Largest open positions

Trump and Pezeshkian meet by December 31?No · $49 · 94¢ → 92¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $20 · 83¢ → 83¢
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the cash rate target at the February meeting?Yes · $8 · 53¢ → 85¢
US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026?No · $6 · 72¢ → 90¢
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?Yes · $6 · 25¢ → 31¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes · $6 · 58¢ → 67¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $5 · 76¢ → 76¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes · $5 · 64¢ → 64¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Yes · $5 · 54¢ → 54¢
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026?Yes · $3 · 54¢ → 37¢

Latest closed positions

U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?Yes · +$1 · Jan 1, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?Yes · +$1 · Jan 1, 2026
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes · +$2 · Dec 7, 2025
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes · -$2 · Oct 25, 2025
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes · -$3 · Oct 25, 2025
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes · -$11 · Oct 25, 2025
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · +$0 · Oct 25, 2025

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