Geopolitics27 days left
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026?
YES Price
37¢
37% implied
NO Price
63¢
63% implied
Volume
$2.5K
88 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 49 traders
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30?
6 MARKETS · $9.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs3 NO
57%43%
57% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 76% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 52%· net of hedges
+39 new YES$1.1K+29 new NO$1.2K
$1.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 20 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $360 is directional: YES $274·NO $86YES Team
Total Invested
$274
Avg Win Rate
69.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$55(-20.0%)
Whales
4
S
sabsabinxz🥇
Entry 50¢·303.6 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $152 · WR 67.7%
I
insidero🥈
Entry 42¢·150 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $63 · WR 73.1%
W
Wildanimal🥉
Entry 37¢·145.8 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $54 · WR 68.9%
S
Sina.
Entry 54¢·9.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 61.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$172
Avg Win Rate
57.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+8.6%)
Whales
3
Smart Whale Trades
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