Geopolitics27 days left
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026?
YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$1.2K
52 trades
Smart Whales
3
of 35 traders
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30?
6 MARKETS · $8.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs1 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 31% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%
+1 new YES$4+1 new NO$32
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $45 is directional: YES $14·NO $31YES Team
Total Invested
$14
Avg Win Rate
61.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-36.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$31
Avg Win Rate
55.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-6.2%)
Whales
1
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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