Geopolitics27 days left
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026?
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$1.2K
37 trades
Smart Whales
2
of 27 traders
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30?
6 MARKETS · $8.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs2 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$35+9 new NO$261
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $495 is directional: YES $0·NO $495YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$495
Avg Win Rate
78.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$92(-18.6%)
Whales
2
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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