tupils1 · Polymarket wallet 0x765a…7549

Wallet snapshot

tupils1 has made 47 trades on Polymarket across 31 markets, $1,328 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (13%) and tech (13%). On 16 resolved markets the win rate is 68.8%, lifetime P&L +$33. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US recession by end of 2026?". Last trade: Nov 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US recession by end of 2026?No · $53 · 94¢ → 96¢
• Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes · $18 · 39¢ → 32¢
• Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?No · $18 · 26¢ → 20¢
• Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes · $16 · 83¢ → 88¢
• OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?No · $15 · 28¢ → 27¢
• Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?No · $15 · 70¢ → 88¢
• Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?No · $12 · 65¢ → 53¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes · $9 · 46¢ → 42¢
• Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes · $8 · 13¢ → 14¢
• Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes · $6 · 7¢ → 11¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · +$5 · Nov 7, 2026
• Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?No · +$1 · Nov 6, 2026
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?No · +$17 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No · -$3 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No · +$5 · Nov 4, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?No · +$20 · Nov 3, 2026
• Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?

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