446 days left
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
YES Price
55¢
55% implied
NO Price
45¢
45% implied
Volume
$111.8K
1,858 trades
Smart Whales
72
of 308 traders
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
7 MARKETS · $458.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
26 YESvs46 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 79%
+3 new YES$9+1 new NO$2
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.8K is directional: YES $3.4K·NO $470YES Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+24.0%)
Whales
26
J
Jesetrading🥇
Entry 74¢·1,326 shares
Invested
$983
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-250
$-250INV $983 · WR 67.3%
J
Jellow2🥈hedged
Entry 35¢·2,641.3 shares·also $1.5K on NO
Invested
$924
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$537
+$537INV $924 · WR 67.1%
D
DancewithRisk🥉
Entry 54¢·1,531.8 shares
Invested
$820
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $820 · WR 66.1%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven
Entry 30¢·2,381 shares
Invested
$704
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$613
+$613INV $704 · WR 56.0%
F
Folletin
Entry 41¢·884.8 shares
Invested
$363
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $363 · WR 69.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 64¢·363 shares
Invested
$231
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $231 · WR 66.8%
T
tatitatitati
Entry 36¢·228.9 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $82 · WR 57.1%
F
foxy4
Entry 62¢·100 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $62 · WR 58.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 64¢·59.6 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $38 · WR 68.2%
P
parameter1
Entry 77¢·46.1 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $35 · WR 61.7%
Showing top 10 of 26
NO Team
Total Invested
$8.6K
Avg Win Rate
78.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$658(-7.7%)
Whales
46
J
Jellow2🥇hedged
Entry 88¢·1,717 shares·also $924 on YES
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-742
$-742INV $1.5K · WR 67.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 39¢·2,627.1 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$145
+$145INV $1.0K · WR 85.9%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 56¢·1,812.5 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-214
$-214INV $1.0K · WR 85.8%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 37¢·2,343.4 shares
Invested
$863
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$184
+$184INV $863 · WR 79.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 43¢·1,309.6 shares
Invested
$566
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $566 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 60¢·839.3 shares
Invested
$504
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-129
$-129INV $504 · WR 72.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 55¢·544 shares
Invested
$297
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $297 · WR 89.3%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 51¢·570 shares
Invested
$291
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $291 · WR 89.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 37¢·697.9 shares
Invested
$261
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $261 · WR 86.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 45¢·500.1 shares
Invested
$223
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $223 · WR 88.7%
Showing top 10 of 46
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