smartthink · Polymarket wallet 0x6530…54d6

Wallet snapshot

smartthink has made 454 trades on Polymarket across 194 markets, $36K in volume. Most of it is in sports (20%) and geopolitics (14%). On 182 resolved markets the win rate is 59.3%. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $19 · 78¢ → 76¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · $11 · 91¢ → 93¢
• Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?No · $6 · 12¢ → 78¢
• Will EUR/USD hit 1.22 (High) in 2026?No · $3 · 26¢ → 88¢
• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 2¢ → 2¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 27¢ → 14¢
• Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Yes · $0 · 11¢ → 4¢
• Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $0 · 2¢ → 0¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes · $0 · 14¢ → 4¢
• Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes · $0 · 13¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?No · +$1 · Sep 15, 2026
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · +$0 · Sep 8, 2026
• Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes · +$2 · Jul 3, 2026
• Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes · +$1 · Jul 2, 2026
• US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Yes · +$1 · Jun 28, 2026
• Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes · +$1 · Jun 27, 2026

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